GLOBAL DOLLAR & FX INTELLIGENCE

Cross-border dollar liquidity, FX swap basis dislocations, the Triffin dilemma, Bank of Japan JGB yield curve control spillovers, and Yen carry trade unwinds.

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Pillar VIII: Global Dollar, FX & Cross-Border Capital Flows

7 Guides

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# Guide Title & Core Focus Institutional Domain Read Time Action
71 Cross-Currency Basis: The Price of Dollar Scarcity & FX Swaps
Understanding the Cross-Currency Basis: why Covered Interest Parity (CIP) fails, the mechanics of FX swap borrowing, and detecting global offshore dollar shortages.
Global Dollar & FX 7 min read Open →
72 Foreign Official Treasury Holdings, TIC Data & NY Fed Custody Trends
How foreign central banks manage U.S. debt holdings, reading the monthly TIC capital flow reports, and monitoring weekly Foreign Custody data at the NY Fed.
Global Dollar & FX 7 min read Open →
73 Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs), BOJ Policy & Global Yield Spillovers
How Bank of Japan Yield Curve Control (YCC) exit and rising JGB yields impact the multi-trillion-dollar Japanese capital repatriation from US Treasuries and European bonds.
Global Dollar & FX 7 min read Open →
74 U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Explained: Global Macro Impacts
Basket weighting, Stephen Jen
Global Dollar & FX 6 min read Open →
75 The Global Dollar Liquidity Cycle & Eurodollar System
How the offshore Eurodollar market, cross-currency basis swap spreads, and Fed central bank swap lines drive global liquidity.
Global Dollar & FX 6 min read Open →
76 The Current Account Deficit & The Triffin Dilemma
Why the U.S. must run perpetual trade deficits to supply global reserve currency liquidity, and the capital account surplus mirror.
Global Dollar & FX 6 min read Open →
77 The Yen Carry Trade Explained: Mechanics & Unwinds
How zero-interest rate yen funding trades function, what triggers catastrophic unwinds, and the global volatility feedback loop.
Global Dollar & FX 6 min read Open →